Had a cold this week, so I didn't make the Tuesday game, and tonight's game didn't run. So no NLHE cash for me.
Sunday I have a $50 HORSE tournament, and I'm looking forward to it, but also doing my homework.
Which means losing money in HORSE tournaments online. I did figure some things out about my HORSE game though, and I'll post them separately. For now, I want to wind up my thoughts from last week's Friday game since I might play a little NLHE cash on Sunday. These are mostly from what I wrote down after I played.
* * * * *
I won a little less than half a buy-in on the night, but it kind of feels like a loss. I do believe that I have an issue with barreling bluffing, especially in smaller games (this was a $20 NLHE game, 10c/20c blinds). It seems like once I raise a hand, I start bluffing on multiple streets even when I hit nothing at all and my opponent is likely to have improved. Furthermore, sometimes I know an opponent is weak, but I don't follow through with a bet that will get them off their hand. If I'm going to bluff, commit to the bluff!
For example:
I straddle for 2BB, two callers, and the big blind raises to 15x ($3). I have 99, and I briefly thought of raising (BB is relatively tight, but losing and he overplays hands sometimes) but called along since I had 150 BB in my stack and the other two guys were stacked also.
Flop comes Js Ts 4s. SB, BB, me, and LP guy all check. I think there is a decent chance I have the best hand. Turn Jc, check, check, and I decide that I should protect my hand and avoid getting bluffed off it. So I bet $5 into $12. LP calls, others fold. I'm 99% sure he doesn't have a jack, but believe he has either a flush draw or a weak pair. River comes a blank, and I decide to bet smallish to make sure I see a showdown and avoid him firing a big bet with a busted flush draw (which he is very capable of). I bet $7 into $22, and he hems and haws for a long time, and eventually calls.
Take a second and think about what he has -- I'll let you know later.
What I did well in this hand was bet with a plan and read my opponent. What I did very poorly was a clumsy bet that was essentially a bluff because it would only be called by a better hand. If I know he's weak, why not just push? His range on the river is any hand with a big spade, medium pair, pair of tens, and the very unlikely jack, flush or nothing (float). Against his range, a large bet ($20ish, pretty much a push) will beat out everything but the unlikely monsters. Smaller bets would get called by hands that beat me (have you figured out he held a 10 yet?). Checking is also a very good option, especially since he'd be unlikely to value bet a ten in that spot, and I can bluff catch against most other things depending on my read. Or even better, bluff-raise...
It just seems like I'm making a lot of senseless bluffy bets late in hands, and it is causing money. Like betting on the river with nothing into a guy that had called me all the way there after raising pre-flop. And he'd let got overcards by the turn!
Sometimes, if I feel that I'm beat, there's nothing I can do. They'll call a bet, and bet if I check. So just be ready to fold!
Another example: Early on... forget exact action, but I think I raise, bunch of callers. Flop is two clubs. I bet middle pair or something like that, two callers (LP of previous hand and SB). Turn is third club. Checks around. River is blank. LP thinks for a while, looks like he's considering a bet, then checks. SB checks and I'm sure he doesn't have much. I think, then bet $5 (about 2/3 pot, I think). LP calls, SB mucks -- LP had two clubs. Why bet there? I'll only get called by a hand that beats mine and fold hands that I beat! Just because they are weak doesn't mean I need to fire!
This weeks goals (going into the $100 NLHE game, $1/2 blinds):
1) Continue to open a lot of pots and fire CBs at them. The game is pretty tight and a lot of money can be made by opening light in position. But cut it down after the flop unless there's a great chance I can get them off a hand. (hint: probably not!)
2) Range hands, every time I'm in a hand on the turn and the river. There's lots of money to be made in value bets and bluffs, but I need to range hands to see them. If it makes me think longer, that's ok!
3) If I bluff, make it a bigger bluff. 2/3 pot or more.
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